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Capnography: reading end-tidal CO2

The fastest confirmation that a tube is in the trachea, and the earliest warning that a circulation is failing.

William Owens, MD, Attending Intensivist Physician · Updated 2026-10-05

The normal waveform

A capnogram has four parts. A flat baseline at zero during inspiration and the first part of exhalation, when dead-space gas with no CO2 in it is leaving. A steep upstroke as alveolar gas arrives. A near-flat alveolar plateau with a slight upward slope, whose highest point is the end-tidal value. Then a vertical drop back to zero as the next breath begins.

A trace with all four parts and a plateau that is genuinely flat is a trace you can trust the number from.

The rule that never breaks

End-tidal CO2 is at or below the arterial CO2. It is never above it.

ETCO2 <= PaCO2 always. Normal gradient 3 to 5 mmHg

So whatever the capnograph reads, the arterial CO2 is at least that much. A reading of 55 does not mean the PaCO2 is 55; it means the PaCO2 is 55 or worse.

An end-tidal value above the arterial one is a sampling or calibration fault, with one rare physiological exception in late pregnancy.

The gradient is the signal

The space between the two numbers measures dead space: alveoli that are ventilated but not perfused, diluting the exhaled gas with CO2-free air.

PatternReading
Both stable, gradient 3 to 5Healthy gas exchange
Both risingHypoventilation, or more CO2 being produced: fever, sepsis, malignant hyperthermia, bicarbonate given, a tourniquet released
End-tidal falling, arterial steady or risingDead space increasing: pulmonary embolism, falling cardiac output, shock, overdistension from too much PEEP
Both fallingHyperventilation, hypothermia, a slowing metabolism

A widening gradient with a falling end-tidal value and an unchanged ventilator is a circulatory problem until proven otherwise.

Shapes worth knowing

ShapeCause
Sloped plateau, the shark finBronchospasm or COPD: alveoli emptying at different rates
A notch cut into the plateauA spontaneous diaphragmatic effort through incomplete paralysis
Baseline that never reaches zeroRebreathing: exhausted absorbent, an incompetent valve, inadequate fresh gas flow
Sudden fall to zeroDisconnection, complete obstruction, an esophageal tube, or cardiac arrest
Sudden fall, but not to zeroA partial disconnect, or an abrupt drop in cardiac output

When the trace disappears

Loss of the waveform is the single best indicator that a tube is not in the trachea. Work the differential in order and do not pause to adjust settings first.

Disconnect from the ventilator and bag with 100 percent oxygen. If the patient improves immediately, the problem was the ventilator or the circuit.

During CPR

With no spontaneous circulation, end-tidal CO2 tracks the blood flow that chest compressions are generating, which makes it the only continuous feedback on compression quality available at the bedside.

A value persistently below 10 mmHg after twenty minutes of resuscitation is associated with very poor survival. A sudden rise, often above 35 to 40, is one of the earliest signs of return of circulation and usually appears before a pulse can be felt.

Nobody ever mastered a ventilator by reading about one.

Drop the cardiac output on a simulated patient and watch the end-tidal value fall while the ventilator settings do not change. The Ventilator Workbook puts a live ventilator in front of you with a simulated patient behind it, so you can break things that cannot be harmed. Three modules and time on the simulator are free, and no card is needed.